IMR Press / RCM / Volume 24 / Issue 2 / DOI: 10.31083/j.rcm2402037
Open Access Original Research
Machine Learning-Based Phenomapping in Patients with Heart Failure and Secondary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Implantation: A Proof-of-Concept Study
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1 Cardiac Arrhythmia Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, 100037 Beijing, China
*Correspondence: drhuaweifw@sina.com (Wei Hua)
Rev. Cardiovasc. Med. 2023, 24(2), 37; https://doi.org/10.31083/j.rcm2402037
Submitted: 4 September 2022 | Revised: 22 November 2022 | Accepted: 29 November 2022 | Published: 2 February 2023
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk Stratification in Cardiovascular Diseases)
Copyright: © 2023 The Author(s). Published by IMR Press.
This is an open access article under the CC BY 4.0 license.
Abstract

Background: Previous studies have failed to implement risk stratification in patients with heart failure (HF) who are eligible for secondary implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation. We aimed to evaluate whether machine learning-based phenomapping using routinely available clinical data can identify subgroups that differ in characteristics and prognoses. Methods: A total of 389 patients with chronic HF implanted with an ICD were included, and forty-four baseline variables were collected. Phenomapping was performed using hierarchical k-means clustering based on factor analysis of mixed data (FAMD). The utility of phenomapping was validated by comparing the baseline features and outcomes of the first appropriate shock and all-cause death among the phenogroups. Results: During a median follow-up of 2.7 years for device interrogation and 5.1 years for survival status, 142 (36.5%) first appropriate shocks and 113 (29.0%) all-cause deaths occurred. The first 12 principal components extracted using the FAMD, explaining 60.5% of the total variability, were left for phenomapping. Three mutually exclusive phenogroups were identified. Phenogroup 1 comprised the oldest patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy; had the highest proportion of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia; and had the most favorable cardiac structure and function among the phenogroups. Phenogroup 2 included the youngest patients, mostly those with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy, who had intermediate heart dimensions and function, and the fewest comorbidities. Phenogroup 3 had the worst HF progression. Kaplan–Meier curves revealed significant differences in the first appropriate shock (p = 0.002) and all-cause death (p < 0.001) across the phenogroups. After adjusting for medications in Cox regression, phenogroups 2 and 3 displayed a graded increase in appropriate shock risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03–2.28, p = 0.033; HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.42–3.43, p < 0.001, respectively; p for trend <0.001) compared to phenogroup 1. Regarding mortality risk, phenogroup 3 was associated with an increased risk (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.45–3.49, p < 0.001). In contrast, phenogroup 2 had a risk (p = 0.124) comparable with phenogroup 1. Conclusions: Machine-learning-based phenomapping can identify distinct phenotype subgroups in patients with clinically heterogeneous HF with secondary prophylactic ICD therapy. This novel strategy may aid personalized medicine for these patients.

Keywords
heart failure
implantable cardioverter-defibrillator
secondary prevention
machine learning-based phenomapping
the first appropriate shock
all-cause death
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