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Abstract

Background: The correlation among Glucokinase (GCK) rs1799884 polymorphism and the risk of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) remains controversial, as previous studies have reported inconsistent findings. The potential relationship among the GCK rs1799884 polymorphism and GDM risk was examined by a meta-analysis. Methods: In order to find relevant studies for our investigation, we performed an extensive search across multiple databases, such as Ovid, PubMed, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Web of Science. Afterward, the link among the GDM risk and GCK rs1799884 polymorphism was evaluated by employing either random-effects models or fixed-effects to compute 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and pooled odds ratios (ORs). Results: This meta-analysis comprised a total of 11 studies. The findings revealed that the GCK rs1799884 polymorphism was linked to a decreased risk of GDM across all examined models. The pooled analysis demonstrated a substantial link, with the corresponding 95% CIs and the following ORs: Allele contrast: 0.80 (0.73–0.88), recessive model 0.81 (0.76–0.88), homozygote 0.60, (0.49–0.73), heterozygote 0.84, (0.78–0.91), dominant model 0.59, (0.48–0.72). Conclusions: The GCK rs1799884 variant, according to the current meta-analysis, may act as a genetic biomarker of GDM. The investigation was registered on PROSPERO (https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/) under registration number CRD42023492185.

1. Introduction

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is characterised by hyperglycemia and glucose intolerance during pregnancy [1]. It is projected that about 14% of pregnant women worldwide are glucose intolerant [2]. GDM is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes and foetal chronic metabolic diseases. The mechanism as well as the aetiology of GDM is yet to be fully known. Nevertheless, published evidences suggests that GDM is a clinical illness caused by environmental and genetic determinants [3, 4]. For GDM, genetic susceptibility is an important risk factor [5].

Glucokinase (GCK) is a crucial enzyme in glycolysis due to its ability to promote glucose metabolism and regulate insulin release [6]. At present, a large number of studies have demonstrated that GCK gene mutations are associated with abnormal glucose metabolism [7, 8, 9]. Weedon et al. [10] reported a significant correlation between the GCK rs1799884 polymorphism and fasting blood glucose levels in the general population. A study by Holmkvist et al. [8] found that GCK gene β cell-specific promoter mutation-30G >A (rs1799884) increased the risk of type 2 diabetes.

Numerous investigations conducted over the previous 20 years have assessed the possible correlation among the GCK rs1799884 polymorphism and the risk of GDM in various national races; nonetheless, the ultimate outcomes have been non-uniform and ambiguous [11, 12, 13, 14, 15]. Consequently, the correlation among the GDM risk and GCK rs1799884 mutation was examined by a meta-analysis utilising existing case-control studies.

2. Materials and Methods
2.1 Publication Search

All articles on the association between GDM risk and GCK rs1799884 polymorphism were extracted from Ovid, Pubmed, CNKI, and Web of Science using the keywords such as “GCK rs1799884”, “polymorphism” and “GDM”, and the latest search was updated on 10 December 2022. This study was previously registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023492185) and followed PRISMA guidelines (Supplementary Material).

2.2 Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria

Regardless of sample size, all studies needed to meet the following requirements to be considered: (i) to assess the association GCK rs1799884 polymorphism and the risk of GDM, (ii) for case-control research, and (iii) to have sufficient data to obtain a 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for the odds ratio (OR). Studies that fit within this scope have not been included: (i) abstracts, reviews, overviews, or editorials, (ii) studies with insufficient data.

2.3 Data Extraction

According to the inclusion criteria mentioned above, two reviewers (Y. Hu and A. Wang) have independently extracted the information from all eligible and qualified publications. After consulting with the arbitrators, the discrepancies were resolved (K. Yi).

The next available information was captured from all eligible publications: first author’s last name, date of publication, participants’ country, case- and control-sample size, races, genotyping methods, and minor allele frequencies (MAF). The ethnic groupings have been categorised as Asian, Caucasian, or African.

We used the Cochran Q statistic and the I2 in order to verify and confirm the heterogeneity analysis. A p-value of >0.10 for the Q statistic suggests a shortage of between-study heterogeneity [16]. To quantify ORs, we selected a fixed-effect model (Mantel-Haenszel method) [17]; and the random-effect model (DerSimonian and Laird method) was chosen to aggregate ORs [18].

Publishing bias was explored by visual examination of funnel diagrams using Egger’s power-weighted regression method and Begg’s hierarchy correlation method (p value < 0.05 was deemed statistically meaningful) [19, 20]. STATA software, version 13.0 (STATA Corp., College Station, TX, USA) was employed to process the statistical analyses.

2.4 Trial Sequential Analysis

We used trial sequential analysis (TSA) to assess the required information size (RIS) and the reliability of the results. The RIS was calculated based on a 5% risk of type I error (α = 5%), 80% power of the study (β = 20%), and a two-sided boundary type was performed. TSA was carried out utilizing TSA software (version 0.9.5.10 beta, Copenhagen, Denmark).

3. Result
3.1 Characteristics of Studies

After conducting a meticulous literature retrieval, we eventually limited our scope to 42 publications that might merit in-depth confirmation. After further eliminating 29 articles based on their headings and abstracts, we searched the 13 articles’ full text. Finally, we went ahead and removed 1 article because it focused on a literature review [21], and another because it had nothing to do with GCK rs1799884 polymorphism [22]. A total of twelve case-control studies, derived from eleven publications, were identified for inclusion in this meta-analysis. These studies investigated the potential relationship between GDM risk and GCK rs1799884 polymorphism [11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28]. The Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) guiding principle were followed in the selection of these studies [29]. The documentation searching and research selection proceedings are shown in Fig. 1.

Fig. 1.

Study selection and literature search process utilised for a meta-analysis of GDM and GCK rs1799884 genetic polymorphism. GCK, Glucokinase; GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus.

Table 1 (Ref. [11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28]) presents the unique attributes of the chosen studies. Seven studies included participants of Caucasian descent, four studies involved individuals of Asian descent, and one study encompassed people of African descent. Researches were conducted in Brazil, China, Poland, Russia, Sweden, Thailand, the UK, and the USA.

Table 1.Features of studies encompassed within the meta-analysis.
Author Year Country Ethnicity Sample Genotyping Methods MAF in Controls HWE
Chiu et al. [11] 1994 USA African 94/99 PCR-SSCP 0.19 0.28
Zaidi et al. [23] 1997 UK Caucasian 47/92 PCR-SSCP 0.27 0.08
Shaat et al. [12] 2006 Sweden Caucasian 642/1229 Taqman 0.15 0.50
Freathy et al. [13] 2010 UK Caucasian 614/3811 Illumina 0.18 0.91
Thailand Asian 384/1706 0.10 0.61
Santos et al. [24] 2010 Brazil Caucasian 150/600 PCR-RFLP 0.19 0.11
Li et al. [25] 2011 China Asian 1023/907 Taqman 0.21 0.55
Han et al. [26] 2015 China Asian 948/975 PCR-RFLP 0.10 0.98
Popova et al. [14] 2017 Russia Caucasian 278/179 PCR-RFLP 0.10 0.12
Tarnowski et al. [27] 2017 Poland Caucasian 204/207 Taqman 0.11 0.87
Popova et al. [28] 2021 Russia Caucasian 688/454 PCR-RFLP 0.13 0.14
She et al. [15] 2022 China Asian 835/870 Taqman 0.19 0.24

Abbreviations: PCR-RFLP, polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism; PCR-SSCP, polymerase chain reaction–single strand conformation polymorphism; MAF, minor allele frequency; HWE, Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium.

3.2 Quantitative Synthesis

Twelve case-control studies were included, comprising 11,129 controls and 5907 patients. The meta-analysis outcomes are displayed in Table 2. Fig. 2 shows the forest diagrams for assessing the correlation among the GDM risk and GCK rs1799884 polymorphism.

Fig. 2.

GDM risk and GCK rs1799884 polymorphism forest plots of ORs with 95% CIs. (A–E) displays the allelic, homozygous, heterozygous, dominant model, and recessive models, respectively. OR, odd ratio; CI, confidence interval.

Table 2.Quantitative analyses of the GCK rs1799884 polymorphism on the GDM risk.
Genetic model Allele contrast Homozygote Heterozygote Dominant Model Recessive Model
Variables Sample size G vs. A GG vs. AA GA vs. AA GG + GA vs. AA GG vs. GA + AA
Na Case/control OR (95% CI) p value b OR (95% CI) p value b OR (95% CI) p value b OR (95% CI) p value b OR (95% CI) p value b
Total 12 5907/11129 0.80 (0.73, 0.88) 0.051 0.60 (0.49, 0.73) 0.314 0.69 (0.56, 0.85) 0.678 0.59 (0.48, 0.72) 0.069 0.81 (0.76, 0.88) 0.155
Caucasian 7 2623/6572 0.77 (0.70, 0.86) 0.337 0.49 (0.38, 0.65) 0.668 0.59 (0.45, 0.79) 0.829 0.46 (0.35, 0.61) 0.203 0.78 (0.70, 0.87) 0.548
Asia 4 3190/4458 0.83 (0.70, 0.99) 0.015 0.74 (0.55, 0.99) 0.321 0.81 (0.61, 1.09) 0.291 0.76 (0.57, 1.00) 0.172 0.85 (0.76, 0.94) 0.023
African 1 94/99 0.79 (0.48, 1.28) NAc 0.44 (0.08, 2.52) NAc 0.54 (0.09, 3.16) NAc 0.48 (0.09, 2.68) NAc 0.78 (0.44, 1.39) NAc

aNumber of comparisons.

bp value of Q-test for heterogeneity test. Random-effects model was used when p value for heterogeneity test <0.10; otherwise, fixed-effects model was used.

cNA, not available.

Overall, our analysis revealed that, in all of the models we tested, the GCK rs1799884 polymorphism was significantly associated with a reduced risk of gestational diabetes mellitus. Specifically, the homozygote model (GG vs. AA) yielded an OR of 0.60 and a 95% CI of 0.49–0.73; the allele contrast model (G vs. A) yielded an odds ratio (OR) of 0.80 and a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.73–0.88; the dominant model (GG + GA vs. AA) yielded an OR of 0.59 and a 95% CI of 0.48–0.72; the heterozygote model (GA vs. AA) yielded an OR of 0.84 and a 95% CI of 0.78–0.91; and the recessive model (GG vs. GA + AA) yielded an OR of 0.81 and a 95% CI of 0.76–0.88.

3.3 Heterogeneity Analysis

The evaluations of the dominant model and allele model revealed significant heterogeneity (dominant model, pheterogeneity = 0.069; allele model, pheterogeneity = 0.051). The Galbraith plot analysis was employed to probe the heterogeneity sources in different researches. We observed that there were two studies that led to heterogeneity in the GCK rs1799884 polymorphism [14, 25] (Fig. 3). When the outlier researches were removed, heterogeneity declined sharply (allele contrast, pheterogeneity = 0.948; dominant model, pheterogeneity = 0.558).

Fig. 3.

Galbraith plots utilised for assessing heterogeneity concerning GCK rs1799884 polymorphism.

3.4 Cumulative and Sensitivity Analyses

The outcomes are stable, as shown by the sensitivity analyses (Fig. 4) and cumulative meta-analysis (Fig. 5).

Fig. 4.

Sensitivity analysis of correlation among GDM risk and GCK rs1799884 polymorphism. (A–E) displays the allelic, homozygous, heterozygous, dominant model, and recessive models, respectively.

Fig. 5.

Cumulative meta-analysis of correlation among GDM risk and GCK rs1799884 polymorphism. (A–E) displays the allelic, homozygous, heterozygous, dominant model, and recessive models, respectively.

3.5 Publication Bias

Egger’s and Begg’s tests were used to determine whether publishing bias existed in the literature. No asymmetric trends was exhibited by Begg’s funnel-plot curves (Fig. 6). Besides, the statistical outcomes showed no bias in publication. Both tests yielded the following outcomes: [homozygote 0.75 and 0.47, allele contrast 0.45 and 0.20, dominant model 0.75 and 0.66, heterozygote 0.37 and 0.29, recessive model 0.37 and 0.24].

Fig. 6.

Begg’s funnel plot for publication bias test. (A–E) displays the allelic, homozygous, heterozygous, dominant model, and recessive models, respectively.

3.6 Trial Sequential Analysis

TSA was employed to investigate the relationship among GCK rs1799884 and GDM risk. The outcomes revealed that while the cumulative Z value (Z-curve) did not surpass the TSA boundary value, it did cross the TSA boundary, implying that the cumulative amount of information might not have attained the RIS (Fig. 7). This suggests that the conventional meta-analysis might offer a false positive result, and it would be necessary to do additional research to verify the correlation.

Fig. 7.

Trial sequential analyses for GDM risk and GCK rs1799884 polymorphism. (A–E) exhibits the allelic, homozygous, heterozygous, dominant model, and recessive models, respectively.

4. Discussion

Based on 12 case-controlled investigations, the meta-analysis showed that GCK rs1799884 polymorphism significantly decreased GDM incidence. When we conducted subgroup analysis on the basis of ethnicity, a significantly decreased GDM risk was found among Caucasian descent in all models. We also found a considerably lower GDM risk among Asian descent in all models except dominant model (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.57–1.00).

The findings of the GCK rs1799884 polymorphism are partially consistent with the previous research. In a meta-analysis based on seven investigations, Han et al. [26] found a substantial correlation among GCK rs1799884 and the susceptibility to GDM among individuals of Caucasian descent in all models. However, they did not observe a significant association between GCK rs1799884 and GDM among individuals of Asian descent in the homozygote comparison and recessive model [26]. One possible explanation for the discrepancy is that the relatively small number of samples in previous research (two Asian studies with 1332 cases and 2681 controls) may result in poor reliability results. The current meta-analysis included four case-controlled studies of Asian ethnicity, comprising 4458 controls and 3190 patients.

In a meta-analysis, the extent of heterogeneity is important as non-homogeneous studies can lead to misleading outcomes. We assessed the significance of heterogeneity using I2 statistics and Q-test, and observed significant heterogeneity in the allele contrast as well as the dominant model. Plotting Galbraith diagrams to determine the origins of heterogeneity showed that two studies were the main contributors. After excluding these two studies, the heterogeneity decreased substantially, and the overall finding remained unchanged.

The possibility of publication bias brought on by studies that are only partially reported is a crucial factor to take into account in a meta-analysis. The funnel plot curves and statistical data in our meta-analysis, which included Egger’s and Begg’s tests to evaluate publication bias, showed no indication of publication bias.

The present investigation has several shortcomings: (i) Because of these studies’ restrictive sample number and the limited studies encompassed, the outcomes were inadequate to statistically examine the actual associations; (ii) This research was based on unadjusted OR estimations, since not all incorporated experiments offered adjustable ORs. ORs may have been modulated by various elements, including smoking, ethnicity, or age, even if they were offered; (iii) There was a marked heterogeneity among studies in recessive model and allele contrast.

5. Conclusions

In summary, as suggested by our meta-analysis, the GCK rs1799884 variant may be useful as a genetic biomarker for GDM. However, more carefully designed investigations conducted across multiple centres are necessary to validate and strengthen our findings.

Availability of Data and Materials

All data generated or analysed during this study are included in this article. Further enquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.

Author Contributions

KY conceived and designed the meta-analysis. YH and AW performed the literature search. AW analyzed the data. YH wrote the paper. All authors contributed to editorial changes in the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript. All authors have participated sufficiently in the work and agreed to be accountable for all aspects of the work.

Ethics Approval and Consent to Participate

Not applicable.

Acknowledgment

Thanks to all the peer reviewers for their opinions and suggestions.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

References

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